NDA benefits from splits in TMC and Shiv Sena, nears two-thirds majority, major bills possible in monsoon session.
Recent political events have tilted the parliamentary arithmetic in favor of the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA). In the Lok Sabha, the BJP currently has 240 elected MPs, and together with its allies, the NDA holds a majority of 318 seats, which is sufficient to pass general legislation.
However, major constitutional amendments require a two-thirds majority, and the NDA now appears to be approaching that target.
A major upheaval in the opposition camp has given the NDA this edge. According to media reports, a faction of Trinamool Congress (TMC) MPs has broken away and joined the NDA, reducing the TMC's strength in the Lok Sabha to just 8.
Similarly, the split in Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray) has altered the politics of Maharashtra. Six of the 9 Lok Sabha MPs from Shiv Sena (UBT) have sided with the NDA.
There is talk in political corridors that rebellion or splits in provincial parties have made the way easier for the BJP in Parliament.
These divisions have not only weakened opposition unity but have also provided crucial legislative support to the ruling party, making them feel more confident in pushing their agenda.
With its increased strength in Parliament, the NDA government is preparing to introduce some major constitutional amendments. This requires a two-thirds majority of the members present and voting in the house. The BJP coalition has intensified its efforts to expand its political reach to achieve this goal.
This majority would empower the government to pass laws that could have a profound impact on the country's social and political fabric.
According to media reports, the government may introduce the 130th Constitutional Amendment Bill in the monsoon session, starting July 17. This bill includes a provision to remove ministers from their posts if they are held in custody for up to 30 days for serious offenses.
Furthermore, the government may make another attempt to pass the long-pending constitutional amendment bill on delimitation and to implement the women's reservation law. These bills could bring significant changes to the country's electoral and administrative framework.
These developments make it clear that the upcoming monsoon session is going to be very eventful and significant. Amidst the NDA's increased strength and the opposition's weakened position, it will be interesting to see to what extent the government can advance its legislative agenda.
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